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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.38+6.56vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.22+7.13vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.42+2.15vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.38+4.31vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.09+3.48vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.22+1.19vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.78+1.12vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.32vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.02-1.07vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.45-3.02vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-3.52vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.87+0.04vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.14-1.81vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.57-3.70vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.00-2.37vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.07-3.62vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering0.22-2.21vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.42-4.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.56Dartmouth College2.387.1%1st Place
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9.13Brown University2.225.1%1st Place
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5.15Yale University2.4214.8%1st Place
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8.31Bowdoin College2.385.5%1st Place
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8.48Roger Williams University2.096.0%1st Place
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7.19Tufts University2.228.4%1st Place
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8.12University of Rhode Island2.786.9%1st Place
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7.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.326.7%1st Place
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7.93Boston College2.027.1%1st Place
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6.98Harvard University2.458.5%1st Place
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7.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.2%1st Place
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12.04University of Vermont0.872.5%1st Place
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11.19Boston University1.142.9%1st Place
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10.3Yale University1.573.6%1st Place
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12.63Connecticut College1.001.9%1st Place
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12.38Northeastern University1.072.2%1st Place
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14.79Olin College of Engineering0.221.0%1st Place
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13.67Fairfield University0.421.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Michels | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Mason Stang | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Carmen Cowles | 14.8% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Ben Mueller | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Jack Redmond | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Robby Meek | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 8.9% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 4.7% |
| Audrey Foley | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| William Hurd | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 12.8% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 9.9% |
| James Jagielski | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 37.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 17.2% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.