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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.48+1.17vs Predicted
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2Columbia University2.13+0.52vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University0.43+0.80vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.95-2.21vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-0.15-0.41vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College-0.24-1.35vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology0.56-4.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Cornell University2.480.4%1st Place
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2.52Columbia University2.130.2%1st Place
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4.8Syracuse University0.430.1%1st Place
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2.79Queen's University1.950.2%1st Place
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5.59U. S. Military Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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5.65Hamilton College-0.240.0%1st Place
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4.49Rochester Institute of Technology0.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 37.3% | 28.3% | 20.6% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| David Coplon | 24.9% | 30.2% | 23.2% | 14.3% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Harmen Rockler | 5.8% | 4.7% | 10.1% | 16.7% | 24.3% | 22.5% | 15.9% |
| Paul Throop | 21.4% | 23.4% | 24.8% | 19.3% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Phillip Weigand | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 10.5% | 17.9% | 24.4% | 36.8% |
| Nathan Burbank | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 27.6% | 37.0% |
| Nathan Fulcher | 5.8% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 20.1% | 25.5% | 19.8% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.