Race 2A

saisa-north-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
James Thurlow 29.8% 25.3% 15.6% 12.7% 9.4% 3.9% 2.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Sara Boyd 5.7% 4.9% 7.4% 10.6% 11.1% 16.3% 18.1% 15.2% 8.1% 2.6%
Roberto Martelli 11.0% 12.3% 13.3% 14.9% 17.7% 13.1% 10.6% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3%
Gregory Walters 21.0% 23.1% 21.5% 14.7% 9.9% 6.2% 2.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Nilah Miller 16.6% 17.9% 17.1% 19.2% 12.0% 9.0% 5.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Jack Dalton 7.5% 7.5% 9.1% 11.4% 13.6% 18.2% 14.4% 11.6% 5.3% 1.4%
Nicholas DeConto 2.1% 1.6% 5.0% 2.8% 8.3% 9.2% 15.9% 20.6% 23.0% 11.5%
Katie Kellam 0.6% 0.6% 1.4% 1.6% 2.2% 4.2% 4.9% 10.4% 20.7% 53.4%
Nevin Williams 1.3% 1.0% 2.2% 2.9% 3.8% 4.8% 8.3% 16.2% 31.9% 27.6%
Blake Daniel 4.4% 5.8% 7.4% 9.2% 12.0% 15.1% 17.9% 17.0% 8.2% 3.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.