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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel1.11+1.86vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.34+0.54vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.79+0.37vs Predicted
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4Auburn University-0.36+1.31vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.39+0.29vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-2.30+2.18vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-3.03vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-0.60vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-1.11-2.47vs Predicted
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10Vanderbilt University-3.79-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86The Citadel1.110.3%1st Place
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2.54University of South Carolina1.340.3%1st Place
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3.37Clemson University0.790.2%1st Place
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5.31Auburn University-0.360.0%1st Place
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5.29North Carolina State University-0.390.1%1st Place
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8.18University of Georgia-2.300.0%1st Place
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3.97Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.1%1st Place
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7.4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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6.53The Citadel-1.110.0%1st Place
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9.55Vanderbilt University-3.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Walters | 27.2% | 21.5% | 19.4% | 14.1% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Thurlow | 32.1% | 23.9% | 18.4% | 14.3% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 16.3% | 18.9% | 20.3% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Boyd | 4.2% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 18.9% | 18.3% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Blake Daniel | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 20.5% | 19.4% | 9.8% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Katie Kellam | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 9.7% | 20.0% | 40.5% | 16.8% |
| Roberto Martelli | 10.0% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 20.0% | 18.8% | 12.8% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 15.5% | 28.3% | 27.6% | 4.8% |
| Nicholas DeConto | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 9.7% | 15.8% | 23.3% | 23.4% | 11.1% | 1.7% |
| Garrison Clower | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 14.2% | 76.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.