Race 4A

saisa-north-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
James Thurlow 31.5% 27.0% 17.5% 10.6% 8.2% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Sara Boyd 6.0% 6.9% 8.6% 10.2% 15.5% 21.4% 18.5% 10.0% 2.8% 0.1%
Gregory Walters 24.0% 20.6% 20.8% 18.2% 9.7% 5.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Nilah Miller 16.1% 19.6% 20.9% 18.7% 12.5% 7.4% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Jake Tipper 0.9% 1.5% 1.9% 1.9% 4.6% 5.2% 11.7% 17.8% 41.2% 13.3%
Roberto Martelli 12.2% 14.2% 15.2% 19.4% 15.6% 14.5% 6.1% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Nevin Williams 1.5% 0.8% 1.9% 3.2% 4.7% 8.8% 15.4% 29.5% 28.1% 6.1%
Nicholas DeConto 2.6% 2.6% 4.9% 6.4% 11.1% 13.1% 21.9% 24.0% 12.0% 1.4%
Blake Daniel 5.0% 6.7% 8.1% 11.2% 17.4% 19.5% 18.2% 10.4% 3.2% 0.3%
Garrison Clower 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.7% 1.2% 2.0% 4.6% 12.1% 78.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.