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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
William Turner 58.2% 26.2% 9.5% 4.6% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lewis Bragg 17.6% 28.2% 23.2% 17.2% 8.9% 3.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Isabelle Pobanz 11.1% 17.0% 24.2% 20.0% 14.9% 8.7% 3.2% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Malcolm McAlister 3.4% 9.2% 14.6% 19.3% 18.5% 17.0% 10.9% 5.5% 1.3% 0.3%
Campbell Tate 4.8% 8.1% 10.7% 14.2% 19.8% 19.4% 14.5% 6.4% 1.9% 0.2%
Carter Adams 1.3% 3.2% 2.9% 4.0% 7.3% 10.3% 15.7% 23.2% 27.6% 4.5%
Pax Poggi 1.2% 1.7% 4.1% 6.2% 8.0% 13.8% 21.3% 24.8% 16.4% 2.5%
Christine Moore 0.5% 1.2% 2.8% 3.0% 5.9% 8.3% 12.7% 20.8% 38.7% 6.1%
Samuel Trimble 1.9% 4.9% 7.9% 11.1% 14.7% 18.4% 19.3% 14.2% 7.0% 0.6%
Peter Chao 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 1.3% 3.7% 7.1% 85.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.