← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1The Citadel-1.12+3.67vs Predicted
-
2Clemson University1.34-0.39vs Predicted
-
3The Citadel0.11-0.11vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University-1.32+1.07vs Predicted
-
5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.36-1.50vs Predicted
-
6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.00+1.68vs Predicted
-
7Auburn University-2.67+0.26vs Predicted
-
8University of Georgia-1.79-2.18vs Predicted
-
9Vanderbilt University-2.39-2.19vs Predicted
-
10University of South Carolina-5.19-0.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.67The Citadel-1.120.1%1st Place
-
1.61Clemson University1.340.6%1st Place
-
2.89The Citadel0.110.2%1st Place
-
5.07North Carolina State University-1.320.0%1st Place
-
3.5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.360.1%1st Place
-
7.68University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.000.0%1st Place
-
7.26Auburn University-2.670.0%1st Place
-
5.82University of Georgia-1.790.0%1st Place
-
6.81Vanderbilt University-2.390.0%1st Place
-
9.7University of South Carolina-5.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm McAlister | 5.8% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 19.5% | 15.9% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| William Turner | 58.2% | 26.5% | 12.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 16.5% | 28.0% | 24.6% | 17.9% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Campbell Tate | 3.7% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 17.0% | 19.5% | 19.4% | 14.2% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Isabelle Pobanz | 11.3% | 18.1% | 23.8% | 20.5% | 14.5% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moore | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 13.7% | 19.8% | 36.8% | 8.4% |
| Carter Adams | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 17.8% | 25.8% | 25.2% | 4.0% |
| Samuel Trimble | 1.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 15.4% | 19.8% | 18.8% | 14.1% | 7.0% | 0.5% |
| Pax Poggi | 1.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 15.8% | 18.0% | 23.3% | 18.5% | 2.3% |
| Peter Chao | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 8.2% | 84.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.