← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1The Citadel0.11+1.27vs Predicted
-
2Clemson University-0.58+1.27vs Predicted
-
3The Citadel-1.12+1.21vs Predicted
-
4Vanderbilt University-2.39+2.44vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University-1.32-0.50vs Predicted
-
6Georgia Institute of Technology-0.96-2.14vs Predicted
-
7University of Georgia-1.79-1.60vs Predicted
-
8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.00-0.67vs Predicted
-
9Auburn University-3.56-0.89vs Predicted
-
10University of South Carolina-5.19-0.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.27The Citadel0.110.4%1st Place
-
3.27Clemson University-0.580.2%1st Place
-
4.21The Citadel-1.120.1%1st Place
-
6.44Vanderbilt University-2.390.0%1st Place
-
4.5North Carolina State University-1.320.1%1st Place
-
3.86Georgia Institute of Technology-0.960.1%1st Place
-
5.4University of Georgia-1.790.0%1st Place
-
7.33University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.000.0%1st Place
-
8.11Auburn University-3.560.0%1st Place
-
9.62University of South Carolina-5.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Bragg | 39.6% | 26.6% | 15.1% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Bialek | 18.1% | 20.2% | 21.4% | 16.0% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 11.0% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 18.5% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Pax Poggi | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 21.4% | 24.3% | 10.6% | 1.7% |
| Campbell Tate | 9.4% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 11.4% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Tan Tonge | 12.4% | 16.2% | 17.0% | 17.8% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Trimble | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 21.1% | 17.5% | 12.3% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Christine Moore | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 16.4% | 26.2% | 28.7% | 4.3% |
| Michael Zeller | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 9.8% | 20.6% | 43.1% | 13.3% |
| Peter Chao | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 4.5% | 11.3% | 80.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.