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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College0.75+3.29vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.23+3.54vs Predicted
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3University of Florida1.38+0.12vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.67+0.51vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology0.78-0.74vs Predicted
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6Florida State University-0.23+0.50vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-0.96+1.04vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.30-2.71vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.81-1.28vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.14-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29Eckerd College0.750.2%1st Place
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5.54University of South Florida0.230.1%1st Place
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3.12University of Florida1.380.2%1st Place
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4.51University of Miami0.670.1%1st Place
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4.26Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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6.5Florida State University-0.230.1%1st Place
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8.04Embry-Riddle University-0.960.0%1st Place
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5.29Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
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7.72Rollins College-0.810.0%1st Place
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5.72Jacksonville University0.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Robinson | 15.7% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Timothy Brustoski | 9.0% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 4.9% |
| Matthew Snyder | 24.6% | 21.4% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Gleason | 11.7% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Brendan Smucker | 13.8% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Michael Kaufman | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 13.3% |
| Tanner Cummings | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 22.8% | 36.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 7.7% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 4.1% |
| Jason Goldsmith | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 19.4% | 32.1% |
| Josh Becker | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.