← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Florida1.38+2.09vs Predicted
-
2University of Miami0.67+2.59vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University0.14+2.79vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College0.75+0.39vs Predicted
-
5Rollins College-0.81+2.60vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida0.23-0.57vs Predicted
-
7Florida Institute of Technology0.78-2.70vs Predicted
-
8Embry-Riddle University-0.96-0.07vs Predicted
-
9Florida State University-0.23-2.46vs Predicted
-
10Rollins College0.30-4.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.09University of Florida1.380.3%1st Place
-
4.59University of Miami0.670.1%1st Place
-
5.79Jacksonville University0.140.1%1st Place
-
4.39Eckerd College0.750.1%1st Place
-
7.6Rollins College-0.810.0%1st Place
-
5.43University of South Florida0.230.1%1st Place
-
4.3Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
-
7.93Embry-Riddle University-0.960.0%1st Place
-
6.54Florida State University-0.230.1%1st Place
-
5.34Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Snyder | 27.9% | 21.4% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Jonathan Gleason | 11.9% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Josh Becker | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 6.3% |
| Cameron Robinson | 12.4% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Jason Goldsmith | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 13.1% | 22.2% | 29.9% |
| Timothy Brustoski | 8.7% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 4.6% |
| Brendan Smucker | 12.5% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Tanner Cummings | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 17.9% | 38.2% |
| Michael Kaufman | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 13.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.