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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University2.13+1.56vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.48+0.11vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.95-1.23vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University0.43-0.12vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-0.15-0.42vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College-0.24-1.35vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology0.56-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Columbia University2.130.3%1st Place
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2.11Cornell University2.480.4%1st Place
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2.77Queen's University1.950.2%1st Place
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4.88Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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5.58U. S. Military Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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5.65Hamilton College-0.240.0%1st Place
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4.46Rochester Institute of Technology0.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Coplon | 27.2% | 26.3% | 22.8% | 14.2% | 7.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 38.4% | 29.9% | 19.0% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Throop | 21.6% | 22.0% | 28.4% | 17.5% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Harmen Rockler | 3.0% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 18.1% | 23.5% | 24.3% | 15.4% |
| Phillip Weigand | 1.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 10.7% | 17.7% | 25.0% | 36.1% |
| Nathan Burbank | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 10.1% | 16.4% | 26.3% | 37.7% |
| Nathan Fulcher | 6.1% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 20.4% | 25.7% | 18.6% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.