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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Matthew Snyder 28.5% 21.0% 15.0% 11.3% 10.8% 6.4% 3.9% 2.2% 0.5% 0.4%
Brendan Smucker 13.8% 14.8% 13.1% 13.7% 12.9% 10.7% 8.7% 7.4% 3.4% 1.5%
Timothy Brustoski 7.4% 8.4% 9.1% 9.0% 11.6% 12.7% 14.0% 13.3% 9.8% 4.7%
Josh Becker 6.2% 7.5% 10.3% 11.4% 10.2% 11.2% 14.1% 12.4% 11.6% 5.1%
Cameron Robinson 14.3% 13.6% 13.1% 13.9% 12.5% 12.2% 8.9% 6.2% 4.6% 0.7%
Tanner Cummings 3.1% 3.3% 3.1% 3.7% 5.1% 5.3% 7.2% 11.7% 19.7% 37.8%
Jonathan Gleason 11.2% 12.9% 13.7% 14.6% 13.1% 10.7% 10.3% 8.2% 3.8% 1.5%
Michael Kaufman 5.0% 5.3% 7.9% 7.1% 8.7% 10.0% 12.6% 13.7% 16.9% 12.8%
Jason Goldsmith 2.6% 3.0% 4.7% 4.0% 4.1% 7.5% 9.6% 11.9% 21.2% 31.4%
Jackson McGeough 7.9% 10.2% 10.0% 11.3% 11.0% 13.3% 10.7% 13.0% 8.5% 4.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.