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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Florida1.38+2.06vs Predicted
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2Florida Institute of Technology0.78+2.32vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.23+2.61vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.14+1.69vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College0.75-0.68vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-0.96+1.90vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.67-2.47vs Predicted
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8Florida State University-0.23-1.51vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.81-1.29vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.30-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06University of Florida1.380.3%1st Place
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4.32Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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5.61University of South Florida0.230.1%1st Place
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5.69Jacksonville University0.140.1%1st Place
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4.32Eckerd College0.750.1%1st Place
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7.9Embry-Riddle University-0.960.0%1st Place
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4.53University of Miami0.670.1%1st Place
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6.49Florida State University-0.230.1%1st Place
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7.71Rollins College-0.810.0%1st Place
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5.35Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Snyder | 28.5% | 21.0% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Smucker | 13.8% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Timothy Brustoski | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 4.7% |
| Josh Becker | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 5.1% |
| Cameron Robinson | 14.3% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Tanner Cummings | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 19.7% | 37.8% |
| Jonathan Gleason | 11.2% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Michael Kaufman | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 16.9% | 12.8% |
| Jason Goldsmith | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 21.2% | 31.4% |
| Jackson McGeough | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.