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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida Institute of Technology0.78+3.25vs Predicted
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2University of Florida1.38+1.09vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.23+2.61vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.14+1.73vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College0.75-0.68vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.67-1.52vs Predicted
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7Florida State University-0.23-0.40vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.30-2.70vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-0.96-1.06vs Predicted
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10Rollins College-0.81-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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3.09University of Florida1.380.3%1st Place
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5.61University of South Florida0.230.1%1st Place
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5.73Jacksonville University0.140.1%1st Place
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4.32Eckerd College0.750.1%1st Place
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4.48University of Miami0.670.1%1st Place
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6.6Florida State University-0.230.0%1st Place
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5.3Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
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7.94Embry-Riddle University-0.960.0%1st Place
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7.68Rollins College-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Smucker | 14.8% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Matthew Snyder | 27.0% | 19.4% | 17.4% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Brustoski | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 4.8% |
| Josh Becker | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 5.6% |
| Cameron Robinson | 13.5% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Jonathan Gleason | 13.6% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Michael Kaufman | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 17.0% | 12.9% |
| Jackson McGeough | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 4.1% |
| Tanner Cummings | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 21.6% | 35.9% |
| Jason Goldsmith | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 14.0% | 18.8% | 32.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.