Race 2A

charleston-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Andrew Ciszewski 11.2% 8.8% 11.7% 9.5% 10.7% 9.2% 8.7% 9.9% 8.2% 6.3% 3.8% 1.9% 0.1%
Mateo Rodriguez 11.9% 14.8% 11.8% 12.4% 10.7% 10.4% 8.4% 6.9% 5.6% 3.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2%
Scott Harris 15.4% 16.1% 13.6% 11.6% 10.6% 11.0% 7.3% 6.0% 4.5% 2.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Zachariah Schemel 5.2% 5.7% 5.6% 7.7% 7.6% 8.6% 7.9% 9.8% 11.3% 9.8% 11.8% 8.2% 0.8%
Taylor Hasson 10.6% 11.5% 10.6% 9.4% 9.3% 9.0% 9.1% 9.8% 8.0% 6.0% 4.2% 2.1% 0.4%
Will Cornell 2.8% 2.6% 2.6% 3.0% 4.3% 4.2% 5.5% 5.7% 6.8% 11.3% 16.4% 28.3% 6.5%
Sherman Thompson 6.9% 4.6% 7.2% 6.6% 4.9% 7.4% 8.1% 9.2% 10.9% 11.5% 12.7% 8.6% 1.4%
Emma Tallman 9.9% 10.1% 10.7% 8.8% 9.7% 10.6% 11.8% 8.6% 7.7% 5.6% 4.3% 2.1% 0.1%
Stewart Gurnell 10.7% 10.5% 10.7% 10.0% 10.0% 8.8% 9.9% 8.6% 7.7% 6.2% 4.5% 2.2% 0.2%
Peter McGonagle 6.9% 7.1% 6.0% 8.5% 7.6% 8.2% 9.3% 8.8% 8.6% 10.9% 10.0% 6.9% 1.2%
Aden Anderson 2.3% 2.4% 2.5% 4.7% 4.5% 4.5% 5.9% 6.5% 7.8% 11.0% 16.9% 25.0% 6.0%
Brian Fox 5.8% 5.5% 6.9% 7.5% 9.5% 7.6% 7.4% 9.2% 11.6% 13.4% 8.5% 6.3% 0.8%
Jason Elliott 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.7% 1.0% 1.3% 1.8% 3.6% 7.3% 82.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.