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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+4.29vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.45+4.85vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.22+6.06vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.38+4.46vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.07+7.49vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.87+6.08vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.14+4.25vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.02+0.16vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.42+4.74vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.78-1.81vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.38-3.69vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-4.36vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.22-5.68vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-6.57vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.09-6.68vs Predicted
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16Yale University1.57-5.73vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.00-4.68vs Predicted
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18Olin College of Engineering0.22-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29Yale University2.4214.3%1st Place
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6.85Harvard University2.459.9%1st Place
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9.06Brown University2.225.1%1st Place
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8.46Bowdoin College2.386.2%1st Place
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12.49Northeastern University1.072.1%1st Place
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12.08University of Vermont0.872.1%1st Place
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11.25Boston University1.142.7%1st Place
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8.16Boston College2.026.3%1st Place
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13.74Fairfield University0.421.6%1st Place
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8.19University of Rhode Island2.785.6%1st Place
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7.31Dartmouth College2.388.2%1st Place
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7.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.326.3%1st Place
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7.32Tufts University2.228.3%1st Place
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7.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.3%1st Place
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8.32Roger Williams University2.095.8%1st Place
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10.27Yale University1.574.0%1st Place
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12.32Connecticut College1.003.0%1st Place
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14.81Olin College of Engineering0.221.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 14.3% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robby Meek | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Mason Stang | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 11.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 8.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.7% |
| Jack Redmond | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 17.3% | 21.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| William Michels | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Audrey Foley | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| William Hurd | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.9% |
| James Jagielski | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 17.2% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.