Race 5A

charleston-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Taylor Hasson 10.0% 9.9% 10.0% 11.0% 8.7% 10.5% 9.0% 9.4% 8.5% 6.5% 4.2% 2.1% 0.2%
Brian Fox 6.5% 6.6% 7.8% 7.4% 6.9% 9.4% 9.3% 9.6% 9.2% 12.1% 9.1% 5.2% 0.9%
Will Cornell 2.1% 1.9% 2.5% 2.2% 4.9% 4.4% 5.0% 6.9% 7.2% 10.1% 18.4% 27.6% 6.8%
Andrew Ciszewski 10.4% 9.9% 10.6% 11.1% 9.1% 10.1% 9.1% 8.5% 7.8% 7.0% 4.2% 2.1% 0.1%
Zachariah Schemel 6.9% 5.6% 6.0% 7.7% 8.0% 8.0% 8.5% 8.6% 11.9% 10.5% 10.4% 7.0% 0.9%
Stewart Gurnell 10.7% 11.0% 10.8% 11.4% 8.8% 9.1% 10.2% 8.9% 6.7% 6.2% 4.4% 1.6% 0.2%
Scott Harris 16.2% 16.4% 12.2% 10.7% 12.0% 9.3% 7.0% 7.1% 4.3% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Sherman Thompson 4.4% 6.0% 6.3% 7.1% 5.3% 7.9% 9.8% 9.0% 10.7% 12.0% 12.4% 8.2% 0.9%
Mateo Rodriguez 12.7% 12.6% 14.0% 10.8% 11.4% 9.4% 7.8% 7.0% 6.0% 4.7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.4%
Emma Tallman 11.0% 10.0% 9.9% 9.4% 11.5% 8.1% 8.9% 9.1% 8.2% 6.3% 4.7% 2.7% 0.2%
Peter McGonagle 6.7% 6.8% 7.3% 7.6% 9.1% 8.9% 8.8% 9.4% 10.4% 9.6% 9.2% 5.3% 0.9%
Aden Anderson 2.1% 2.8% 2.4% 3.4% 3.7% 4.2% 5.9% 5.5% 7.8% 10.3% 15.6% 29.5% 6.8%
Jason Elliott 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 1.0% 1.3% 1.8% 3.5% 7.5% 81.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.