Race 6A

charleston-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sherman Thompson 5.3% 4.7% 6.1% 5.7% 8.2% 7.2% 8.0% 10.6% 10.5% 11.5% 12.1% 8.6% 1.5%
Scott Harris 16.6% 14.0% 13.8% 11.7% 12.0% 9.2% 7.7% 6.2% 4.4% 2.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Andrew Ciszewski 8.7% 10.2% 11.6% 9.7% 9.8% 9.1% 11.2% 9.9% 8.3% 6.1% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3%
Stewart Gurnell 10.1% 11.1% 10.3% 10.9% 8.9% 10.2% 8.2% 9.8% 7.7% 7.1% 4.2% 1.3% 0.2%
Zachariah Schemel 6.5% 6.1% 5.4% 8.8% 7.7% 7.0% 8.3% 8.2% 11.7% 10.6% 12.0% 6.6% 1.1%
Mateo Rodriguez 13.1% 13.4% 13.2% 11.2% 12.6% 8.8% 7.7% 6.0% 6.3% 4.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
Brian Fox 7.9% 7.0% 8.1% 6.8% 6.0% 8.4% 10.9% 9.1% 8.9% 12.2% 9.0% 4.7% 1.0%
Emma Tallman 9.6% 9.4% 9.6% 11.1% 8.1% 12.1% 9.9% 8.7% 8.1% 6.3% 4.7% 2.2% 0.2%
Will Cornell 2.5% 3.5% 2.0% 3.4% 3.5% 4.1% 3.8% 6.4% 7.7% 10.9% 17.0% 28.5% 6.7%
Peter McGonagle 7.4% 5.6% 6.4% 8.1% 7.8% 8.3% 8.4% 9.2% 10.8% 11.4% 9.6% 6.1% 0.9%
Taylor Hasson 9.9% 12.1% 10.7% 9.5% 10.6% 10.2% 10.2% 7.3% 7.7% 5.8% 3.7% 2.1% 0.2%
Aden Anderson 2.0% 2.5% 2.6% 2.9% 4.7% 4.5% 4.8% 7.6% 6.9% 9.7% 15.8% 29.5% 6.5%
Jason Elliott 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.9% 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 1.3% 4.3% 8.1% 81.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.