Race 7A

charleston-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Scott Harris 16.8% 14.7% 13.0% 12.8% 11.8% 8.6% 7.8% 5.5% 4.8% 2.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Stewart Gurnell 10.4% 11.3% 9.4% 10.9% 11.3% 10.2% 8.8% 10.1% 6.8% 5.4% 3.3% 1.8% 0.3%
Andrew Ciszewski 9.7% 10.5% 11.3% 10.7% 9.8% 9.9% 9.1% 9.9% 6.8% 6.8% 4.0% 1.3% 0.2%
Mateo Rodriguez 14.2% 12.9% 12.5% 12.8% 10.6% 8.8% 8.9% 6.6% 6.2% 4.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.2%
Will Cornell 2.9% 2.9% 2.4% 4.2% 3.7% 5.2% 5.8% 5.7% 8.7% 9.8% 18.9% 23.6% 6.2%
Taylor Hasson 10.1% 11.1% 11.6% 9.3% 10.3% 11.1% 8.9% 7.8% 7.4% 5.8% 4.9% 1.7% 0.0%
Brian Fox 7.5% 8.1% 7.4% 7.5% 7.4% 8.0% 10.2% 9.2% 10.3% 10.7% 8.6% 4.1% 1.0%
Emma Tallman 9.6% 11.3% 11.4% 8.8% 9.4% 10.3% 10.6% 9.9% 7.0% 6.3% 3.7% 1.7% 0.0%
Peter McGonagle 6.5% 6.0% 7.6% 6.6% 7.1% 8.3% 8.8% 11.0% 12.2% 9.0% 9.9% 6.3% 0.7%
Zachariah Schemel 7.0% 4.9% 6.8% 6.6% 8.2% 8.9% 8.8% 9.8% 10.1% 11.8% 8.6% 7.1% 1.4%
Emily Pytell 3.0% 3.3% 3.3% 6.0% 5.6% 5.3% 6.2% 7.3% 11.0% 13.5% 14.3% 17.2% 4.0%
Aden Anderson 2.0% 2.5% 3.2% 3.5% 4.4% 4.4% 5.4% 6.2% 7.3% 12.3% 17.1% 25.9% 5.8%
Jason Elliott 0.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 1.0% 0.7% 1.0% 1.4% 2.1% 3.7% 8.4% 80.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.