Race 8A

charleston-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Will Cornell 2.6% 2.6% 2.8% 2.7% 3.6% 4.1% 7.1% 7.0% 7.5% 12.3% 16.1% 25.8% 5.8%
Zachariah Schemel 5.6% 5.6% 7.5% 6.3% 7.7% 7.6% 9.7% 10.6% 11.9% 9.7% 10.8% 5.8% 1.2%
Brian Fox 5.5% 6.3% 8.6% 8.7% 8.2% 8.2% 8.8% 11.3% 11.0% 10.9% 7.5% 4.6% 0.4%
Scott Harris 16.5% 15.6% 14.9% 11.4% 9.8% 8.4% 7.9% 7.9% 3.6% 2.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Emily Pytell 4.1% 3.1% 3.6% 5.1% 5.0% 6.5% 5.9% 6.9% 9.6% 11.0% 18.4% 16.3% 4.5%
Mateo Rodriguez 13.3% 16.6% 11.2% 11.8% 11.7% 10.4% 6.7% 5.4% 6.9% 3.5% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Andrew Ciszewski 12.2% 9.8% 10.3% 9.9% 10.1% 10.6% 9.6% 7.1% 9.2% 5.9% 3.8% 1.4% 0.1%
Peter McGonagle 5.6% 7.4% 7.0% 7.5% 7.0% 10.0% 9.5% 9.1% 12.3% 10.0% 8.3% 5.7% 0.6%
Taylor Hasson 9.3% 8.6% 11.4% 10.5% 10.8% 8.6% 10.2% 10.7% 6.7% 6.9% 3.8% 2.0% 0.5%
Emma Tallman 11.7% 9.0% 9.5% 11.9% 9.6% 8.7% 8.9% 9.9% 7.6% 6.7% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4%
Stewart Gurnell 11.2% 12.1% 10.2% 10.9% 12.3% 10.2% 9.7% 7.4% 5.6% 5.9% 2.7% 1.6% 0.2%
Aden Anderson 2.1% 2.8% 2.9% 3.1% 3.8% 5.5% 5.4% 5.7% 7.0% 12.8% 17.7% 24.9% 6.3%
Jason Elliott 0.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 1.2% 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 1.9% 3.3% 9.4% 80.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.