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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+6.65vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.02+6.03vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.78+5.20vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.45+2.72vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.38+2.44vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.22+1.44vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.57+3.31vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.42-2.88vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.22+0.08vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.38-1.76vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.09-2.50vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-4.61vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.00-0.42vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.14-2.75vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.87-2.92vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.42-2.36vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.07-4.49vs Predicted
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18Olin College of Engineering0.22-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.327.0%1st Place
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8.03Boston College2.027.8%1st Place
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8.2University of Rhode Island2.786.0%1st Place
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6.72Harvard University2.458.8%1st Place
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7.44Dartmouth College2.387.9%1st Place
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7.44Tufts University2.227.2%1st Place
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10.31Yale University1.573.8%1st Place
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5.12Yale University2.4213.2%1st Place
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9.08Brown University2.225.2%1st Place
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8.24Bowdoin College2.387.1%1st Place
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8.5Roger Williams University2.095.6%1st Place
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7.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.9%1st Place
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12.58Connecticut College1.002.4%1st Place
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11.25Boston University1.142.9%1st Place
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12.08University of Vermont0.872.9%1st Place
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13.64Fairfield University0.421.4%1st Place
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12.51Northeastern University1.071.7%1st Place
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14.81Olin College of Engineering0.221.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jack Redmond | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Robby Meek | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Audrey Foley | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 13.2% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mason Stang | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| William Hurd | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 11.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 7.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 17.0% | 20.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 10.8% |
| James Jagielski | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.