Race 6B

charleston-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charles Mckenzie 19.9% 16.7% 15.6% 12.4% 11.5% 8.9% 5.8% 4.9% 2.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Joey Meagher 16.8% 14.9% 14.5% 12.6% 11.1% 9.3% 7.2% 5.6% 3.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Emily Alfortish 9.1% 12.1% 13.9% 10.8% 9.0% 11.4% 9.7% 7.5% 7.0% 5.6% 2.8% 0.8% 0.3%
Hogan O'Donnell 8.7% 8.6% 8.2% 11.9% 10.0% 9.0% 9.7% 9.0% 8.8% 7.1% 6.3% 1.9% 0.8%
Jack Derry 10.1% 10.6% 9.9% 11.9% 9.9% 8.4% 9.6% 8.8% 9.0% 5.3% 3.9% 2.3% 0.3%
Elizabeth Gildea 8.9% 8.3% 9.4% 9.1% 9.5% 10.5% 10.0% 9.9% 8.8% 6.5% 5.4% 3.1% 0.6%
Max Shapiro 3.9% 2.6% 2.7% 3.6% 4.4% 5.4% 5.4% 5.0% 8.5% 10.9% 15.6% 19.9% 12.1%
Katherine Olsen 3.0% 4.9% 3.7% 3.4% 5.2% 5.9% 7.1% 10.0% 8.5% 13.0% 13.1% 16.9% 5.3%
Joe Serpa 6.4% 6.8% 7.1% 7.8% 10.1% 8.6% 9.8% 8.4% 10.5% 10.0% 7.4% 4.8% 2.3%
Chloe Sweeting 4.7% 4.5% 3.5% 4.8% 5.2% 7.4% 7.3% 9.4% 11.2% 10.3% 12.7% 12.3% 6.7%
Luke Hayes 4.9% 5.4% 7.0% 7.1% 6.9% 7.5% 9.8% 11.7% 10.2% 10.6% 8.9% 6.7% 3.3%
Patrick Barney 2.8% 4.2% 3.6% 3.9% 5.8% 6.4% 7.1% 7.5% 9.1% 12.3% 14.4% 16.0% 6.9%
Madeleine Adams 0.8% 0.4% 0.9% 0.7% 1.4% 1.3% 1.5% 2.3% 2.8% 4.3% 7.8% 14.5% 61.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.