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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.78+6.34vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.42+6.27vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.97+1.17vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.17-0.26vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.60+0.05vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.33-0.26vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.07-0.55vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.40+0.31vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.52-0.93vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-4.52vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.01-4.54vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.09-2.80vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University at Galveston-2.69-0.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.34Christopher Newport University0.780.0%1st Place
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8.27Jacksonville University0.420.0%1st Place
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4.17Florida State University1.970.2%1st Place
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3.74College of Charleston2.170.2%1st Place
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5.05College of Charleston1.600.1%1st Place
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5.74North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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6.45University of Michigan1.070.1%1st Place
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8.31University of California at Berkeley0.400.0%1st Place
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8.07University of South Florida0.520.0%1st Place
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5.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.1%1st Place
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6.46Old Dominion University1.010.1%1st Place
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9.2Washington College0.090.0%1st Place
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12.73Texas A&M University at Galveston-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Hayes | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Barney | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 1.2% |
| Joey Meagher | 16.0% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Charles Mckenzie | 20.6% | 17.9% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Alfortish | 11.6% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Joe Serpa | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Olsen | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 1.4% |
| Chloe Sweeting | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 1.2% |
| Jack Derry | 10.5% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Megan Geith | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Max Shapiro | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 16.9% | 27.3% | 2.9% |
| Emily Gaskins | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 91.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.