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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida0.87+1.59vs Predicted
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2Embry-Riddle University0.81+0.61vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.07+0.65vs Predicted
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4Florida State University-0.23+0.04vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology0.78-2.15vs Predicted
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6Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.26-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59University of South Florida0.870.3%1st Place
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2.61Embry-Riddle University0.810.3%1st Place
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3.65Rollins College0.070.1%1st Place
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4.04Florida State University-0.230.1%1st Place
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2.85Florida Institute of Technology0.780.2%1st Place
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5.26Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary McLauchlin | 26.7% | 25.5% | 21.8% | 16.4% | 6.9% | 2.7% |
| Dylan Hardt | 28.6% | 23.5% | 20.2% | 15.7% | 9.7% | 2.3% |
| Carly Orhan | 11.7% | 13.2% | 17.5% | 23.8% | 23.8% | 10.0% |
| Michael Kaufman | 8.4% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 18.6% | 31.2% | 16.7% |
| Brendan Smucker | 22.2% | 23.9% | 21.3% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 3.9% |
| Brian Sargent | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 9.3% | 15.9% | 64.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.