← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Florida Institute of Technology0.78+1.77vs Predicted
-
2Embry-Riddle University0.81+0.65vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida0.87-0.43vs Predicted
-
4Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.26+1.17vs Predicted
-
5Rollins College0.07-1.24vs Predicted
-
6Florida State University-0.23-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.77Florida Institute of Technology0.780.2%1st Place
-
2.65Embry-Riddle University0.810.3%1st Place
-
2.57University of South Florida0.870.3%1st Place
-
5.17Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.260.0%1st Place
-
3.76Rollins College0.070.1%1st Place
-
4.08Florida State University-0.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Smucker | 22.7% | 24.8% | 21.9% | 17.4% | 10.1% | 3.1% |
| Dylan Hardt | 27.8% | 23.6% | 19.5% | 16.4% | 10.1% | 2.6% |
| Mary McLauchlin | 27.3% | 24.3% | 22.9% | 16.4% | 7.4% | 1.7% |
| Brian Sargent | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 19.4% | 59.9% |
| Carly Orhan | 11.0% | 13.0% | 16.5% | 22.4% | 22.7% | 14.4% |
| Michael Kaufman | 8.4% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 18.9% | 30.3% | 18.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.