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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.28+3.79vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.77+1.61vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.97+0.28vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+4.55vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.82+1.10vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-1.33+10.81vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy0.93+1.75vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.28+5.32vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego1.45-1.88vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles1.30-2.44vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University1.54-4.29vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-1.77+6.16vs Predicted
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13University of Washington0.38-2.11vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.25-2.46vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University0.59-4.61vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-1.97+2.49vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon-0.46-2.91vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-1.45-0.88vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91-3.66vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.03-4.07vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-0.75-6.20vs Predicted
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22California State University Channel Islands-1.45-4.88vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-2.41-3.35vs Predicted
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24California State University Channel Islands-1.97-5.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.79University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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3.61Stanford University2.770.2%1st Place
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3.28University of Southern California2.970.2%1st Place
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8.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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6.1University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.1%1st Place
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16.81San Diego State University-1.330.0%1st Place
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8.75California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.0%1st Place
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13.32University of California at Los Angeles-0.280.0%1st Place
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7.12University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
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7.56University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
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6.71San Diego State University1.540.1%1st Place
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18.16Arizona State University-1.770.0%1st Place
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10.89University of Washington0.380.0%1st Place
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11.54University of California at Berkeley0.250.0%1st Place
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10.39Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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18.49California State University Channel Islands-1.970.0%1st Place
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14.09University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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17.12California State University Channel Islands-1.450.0%1st Place
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15.34University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
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15.93University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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14.8Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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17.12California State University Channel Islands-1.450.0%1st Place
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19.65University of California at San Diego-2.410.0%1st Place
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18.49California State University Channel Islands-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien Rasse | 13.4% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Lim | 21.6% | 17.9% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 23.6% | 19.9% | 18.9% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Kraak | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesco Nicoli | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Spector | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 4.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Kepczyk | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 16.7% | 17.0% | 14.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 1.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael McCulloch | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Declan Dury | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 19.7% | 21.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Avey | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Dally | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 19.1% | 39.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Declan Dury | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 19.7% | 21.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.