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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.77+2.65vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.28+2.81vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.97+0.29vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University1.54+3.08vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.85vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.45+1.33vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+1.51vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy0.93+1.29vs Predicted
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9University of Washington0.38+2.12vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.28+3.50vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.25+0.45vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University0.59-1.57vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.03+3.18vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91+2.00vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University0.08-2.46vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon-0.46-1.84vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-1.45+0.62vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-0.75-2.82vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands-1.97-0.21vs Predicted
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20California State University Channel Islands-1.45-2.38vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-1.77-2.61vs Predicted
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22California State University Channel Islands-1.97-3.21vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-2.41-3.26vs Predicted
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24University of California at Santa Barbara1.82-17.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Stanford University2.770.2%1st Place
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4.81University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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3.29University of Southern California2.970.2%1st Place
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7.08San Diego State University1.540.1%1st Place
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7.85University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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7.33University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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8.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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9.29California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.1%1st Place
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11.12University of Washington0.380.0%1st Place
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13.5University of California at Los Angeles-0.280.0%1st Place
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11.45University of California at Berkeley0.250.0%1st Place
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10.43Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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16.18University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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16.0University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
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12.54San Diego State University0.080.0%1st Place
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14.16University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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17.62California State University Channel Islands-1.450.0%1st Place
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15.18Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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18.79California State University Channel Islands-1.970.0%1st Place
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17.62California State University Channel Islands-1.450.0%1st Place
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18.39Arizona State University-1.770.0%1st Place
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18.79California State University Channel Islands-1.970.0%1st Place
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19.74University of California at San Diego-2.410.0%1st Place
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6.09University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Lim | 20.0% | 18.6% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 13.5% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 23.7% | 20.9% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 5.6% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Spector | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael McCulloch | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 3.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fabio Schettino | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Avey | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Declan Dury | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 19.7% | 21.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Kepczyk | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 19.8% | 16.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Declan Dury | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 19.7% | 21.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Dally | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 18.5% | 41.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Kraak | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.