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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.35+2.01vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+3.16vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+4.91vs Predicted
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4Stanford University1.91-0.14vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.00+5.12vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.06+0.35vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University0.17+2.23vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California-0.10+2.21vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+1.04vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.55+2.05vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-3.08vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-0.01-1.92vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.11-3.37vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego0.01-4.09vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-2.28+2.45vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-1.43-0.90vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-2.02-0.15vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-0.90-4.49vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.71-2.97vs Predicted
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20University of Oregon-2.37-2.12vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-2.82-2.29vs Predicted
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22California State University Channel Islands-1.43-6.90vs Predicted
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23California State University Channel Islands-2.28-5.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01University of Hawaii2.350.3%1st Place
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5.16California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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7.91University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
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3.86Stanford University1.910.2%1st Place
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10.12University of Washington-0.000.0%1st Place
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6.35University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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9.23San Diego State University0.170.0%1st Place
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10.21University of Southern California-0.100.0%1st Place
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10.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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12.05University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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7.92University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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10.08San Diego State University-0.010.0%1st Place
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9.63University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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9.91University of California at San Diego0.010.0%1st Place
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17.45California State University Channel Islands-2.280.0%1st Place
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15.1California State University Channel Islands-1.430.0%1st Place
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16.85University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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13.51Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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16.03University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
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17.88University of Oregon-2.370.0%1st Place
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18.71Arizona State University-2.820.0%1st Place
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15.1California State University Channel Islands-1.430.0%1st Place
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17.45California State University Channel Islands-2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Patton | 27.9% | 23.9% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| harriet jessup | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Austin | 17.3% | 15.8% | 19.0% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Collignon | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kitana Barrus | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 19.6% | 18.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rob Reigelman | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 17.3% | 15.9% | 11.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 5.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katy Priest | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 17.7% | 19.6% | 21.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gage Reitzel | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 19.8% | 38.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rob Reigelman | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kitana Barrus | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 19.6% | 18.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.