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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.35+1.99vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.06+4.23vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+2.10vs Predicted
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4Stanford University1.91-0.13vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.01+5.05vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+2.21vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.00+2.90vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.55+3.80vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California-0.10+1.32vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara0.56-2.02vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-0.01-1.09vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-1.83vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-2.28+4.62vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.11-4.47vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.43-0.09vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University0.17-6.59vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-1.43-2.09vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-0.90-4.70vs Predicted
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19University of Oregon-2.37-1.02vs Predicted
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20California State University Channel Islands-2.28-2.38vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-1.71-4.90vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-2.02-5.07vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-2.82-4.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99University of Hawaii2.350.3%1st Place
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6.23University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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5.1California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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3.87Stanford University1.910.2%1st Place
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10.05University of California at San Diego0.010.0%1st Place
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8.21University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
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9.9University of Washington-0.000.0%1st Place
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11.8University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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10.32University of Southern California-0.100.0%1st Place
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7.98University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.1%1st Place
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9.91San Diego State University-0.010.0%1st Place
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10.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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17.62California State University Channel Islands-2.280.0%1st Place
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9.53University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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14.91California State University Channel Islands-1.430.0%1st Place
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9.41San Diego State University0.170.0%1st Place
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14.91California State University Channel Islands-1.430.0%1st Place
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13.3Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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17.98University of Oregon-2.370.0%1st Place
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17.62California State University Channel Islands-2.280.0%1st Place
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16.1University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
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16.93University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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18.68Arizona State University-2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Patton | 28.6% | 23.1% | 17.0% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 10.3% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Austin | 17.6% | 16.0% | 18.4% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| harriet jessup | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Collignon | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kitana Barrus | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 19.1% | 18.8% | 19.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rob Reigelman | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rob Reigelman | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katy Priest | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 23.1% | 20.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kitana Barrus | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 19.1% | 18.8% | 19.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 11.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gage Reitzel | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 19.5% | 36.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.