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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.35+2.19vs Predicted
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2Stanford University1.91+2.18vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.06+3.53vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University-0.01+6.32vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.00+5.33vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.11+4.07vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.43-1.65vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.27-2.27vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.55+3.26vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara0.56-1.69vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University0.17-1.47vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-3.58vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-2.28+4.72vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego0.01-3.84vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.43+0.08vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-5.63vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-0.90-3.53vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-1.43-2.92vs Predicted
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19University of Oregon-2.37-0.98vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-2.02-2.92vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-1.71-4.86vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-2.82-3.27vs Predicted
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23California State University Channel Islands-2.28-5.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19University of Hawaii2.350.3%1st Place
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4.18Stanford University1.910.2%1st Place
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6.53University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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10.32San Diego State University-0.010.0%1st Place
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10.33University of Washington-0.000.0%1st Place
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10.07University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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5.35California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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5.73University of Southern California1.270.1%1st Place
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12.26University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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8.31University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
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9.53San Diego State University0.170.0%1st Place
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8.42University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
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17.72California State University Channel Islands-2.280.0%1st Place
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10.16University of California at San Diego0.010.0%1st Place
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15.08California State University Channel Islands-1.430.0%1st Place
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10.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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13.47Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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15.08California State University Channel Islands-1.430.0%1st Place
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18.02University of Oregon-2.370.0%1st Place
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17.08University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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16.14University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
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18.73Arizona State University-2.820.0%1st Place
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17.72California State University Channel Islands-2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Patton | 27.2% | 18.9% | 18.2% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Austin | 16.5% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Collignon | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 10.6% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diya Correa | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| harriet jessup | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kitana Barrus | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 19.4% | 17.9% | 19.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rob Reigelman | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rob Reigelman | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katy Priest | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 17.0% | 21.5% | 21.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 11.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 5.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gage Reitzel | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 19.7% | 37.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kitana Barrus | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 19.4% | 17.9% | 19.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.