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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.35+2.01vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+3.14vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+5.03vs Predicted
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4Stanford University1.91-0.15vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University0.17+4.40vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.06+0.38vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.90+6.16vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara0.56-0.29vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.00+0.97vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.11-0.36vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-0.01-1.06vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California-0.10-1.53vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.55-0.82vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego0.01-4.10vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-2.28+2.46vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-1.43-0.90vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-1.43-1.90vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-8.01vs Predicted
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19University of Oregon-2.37-1.02vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-2.02-3.04vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands-2.28-3.54vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.71-5.99vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-2.82-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01University of Hawaii2.350.3%1st Place
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5.14California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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8.03University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
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3.85Stanford University1.910.2%1st Place
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9.4San Diego State University0.170.0%1st Place
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6.38University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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13.16Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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7.71University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.1%1st Place
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9.97University of Washington-0.000.0%1st Place
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9.64University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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9.94San Diego State University-0.010.0%1st Place
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10.47University of Southern California-0.100.0%1st Place
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12.18University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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9.9University of California at San Diego0.010.0%1st Place
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17.46California State University Channel Islands-2.280.0%1st Place
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15.1California State University Channel Islands-1.430.0%1st Place
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15.1California State University Channel Islands-1.430.0%1st Place
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9.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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17.98University of Oregon-2.370.0%1st Place
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16.96University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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17.46California State University Channel Islands-2.280.0%1st Place
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16.01University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
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18.72Arizona State University-2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Patton | 28.4% | 23.2% | 15.8% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 12.3% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Austin | 17.3% | 16.5% | 18.9% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| harriet jessup | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Collignon | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kitana Barrus | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 17.6% | 18.3% | 18.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rob Reigelman | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rob Reigelman | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katy Priest | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 17.5% | 21.0% | 21.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 16.7% | 10.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kitana Barrus | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 17.6% | 18.3% | 18.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 6.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gage Reitzel | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 19.7% | 37.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.