← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii2.35+2.02vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University1.91+1.93vs Predicted
-
3California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+2.07vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+3.95vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Los Angeles1.06+1.37vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Los Angeles0.11+3.81vs Predicted
-
7San Diego State University0.17+2.23vs Predicted
-
8University of Washington-0.00+1.77vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Barbara0.56-1.14vs Predicted
-
10San Diego State University-0.01+0.05vs Predicted
-
11University of Southern California-0.10-0.79vs Predicted
-
12Arizona State University-0.90+1.38vs Predicted
-
13California State University Channel Islands-2.28+4.66vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Berkeley-0.55-1.94vs Predicted
-
15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-5.04vs Predicted
-
16University of California at San Diego0.01-6.03vs Predicted
-
17California State University Channel Islands-1.43-1.94vs Predicted
-
18California State University Channel Islands-1.43-2.94vs Predicted
-
19University of California at San Diego-2.02-1.90vs Predicted
-
20University of Oregon-2.37-2.13vs Predicted
-
21University of California at San Diego-1.71-4.96vs Predicted
-
22California State University Channel Islands-2.28-4.34vs Predicted
-
23Arizona State University-2.82-4.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.02University of Hawaii2.350.3%1st Place
-
3.93Stanford University1.910.2%1st Place
-
5.07California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
-
7.95University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
-
6.37University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
-
9.81University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
-
9.23San Diego State University0.170.0%1st Place
-
9.77University of Washington-0.000.0%1st Place
-
7.86University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
-
10.05San Diego State University-0.010.0%1st Place
-
10.21University of Southern California-0.100.0%1st Place
-
13.38Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
-
17.66California State University Channel Islands-2.280.0%1st Place
-
12.06University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
-
9.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
-
9.97University of California at San Diego0.010.0%1st Place
-
15.06California State University Channel Islands-1.430.0%1st Place
-
15.06California State University Channel Islands-1.430.0%1st Place
-
17.1University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
-
17.87University of Oregon-2.370.0%1st Place
-
16.04University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
-
17.66California State University Channel Islands-2.280.0%1st Place
-
18.64Arizona State University-2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Patton | 28.6% | 21.7% | 16.9% | 12.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Austin | 18.7% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 9.8% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 4.1% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 8.4% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| harriet jessup | 3.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Collignon | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kitana Barrus | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 20.9% | 18.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rob Reigelman | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rob Reigelman | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katy Priest | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 20.4% | 21.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kitana Barrus | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 20.9% | 18.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gage Reitzel | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 14.1% | 18.7% | 37.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.