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📊 Prediction Accuracy
34.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.35+2.20vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+3.47vs Predicted
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3Stanford University1.91+1.14vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.06+2.52vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+3.53vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University0.17+3.96vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.27-1.13vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-0.01+2.21vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara0.56-0.73vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands-2.28+7.59vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.01-0.75vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.00-1.45vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.11-2.93vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.17-2.99vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-0.90-1.61vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-5.51vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-1.43-1.70vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon-2.37+0.10vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands-1.43-3.70vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-2.02-2.90vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-1.71-4.76vs Predicted
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22California State University Channel Islands-2.28-4.41vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-2.82-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2University of Hawaii2.350.3%1st Place
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5.47California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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4.14Stanford University1.910.1%1st Place
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6.52University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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8.53University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
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9.96San Diego State University0.170.0%1st Place
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5.87University of Southern California1.270.1%1st Place
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10.21San Diego State University-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.27University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
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17.59California State University Channel Islands-2.280.0%1st Place
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10.25University of California at San Diego0.010.0%1st Place
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10.55University of Washington-0.000.0%1st Place
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10.07University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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11.01University of California at Berkeley-0.170.0%1st Place
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13.39Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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10.49Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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15.3California State University Channel Islands-1.430.0%1st Place
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18.1University of Oregon-2.370.0%1st Place
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15.3California State University Channel Islands-1.430.0%1st Place
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17.1University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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16.24University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
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17.59California State University Channel Islands-2.280.0%1st Place
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18.74Arizona State University-2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Patton | 27.2% | 19.2% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 10.6% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Austin | 15.0% | 16.3% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diya Correa | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Collignon | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| harriet jessup | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kitana Barrus | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 21.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Beck Boyea | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rob Reigelman | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 7.6% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katy Priest | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 22.9% | 21.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rob Reigelman | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 7.6% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 17.4% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kitana Barrus | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 21.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gage Reitzel | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 21.1% | 36.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.