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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.54+1.68vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.16+3.34vs Predicted
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3Duke University0.43+4.42vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.04-0.46vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.31+4.30vs Predicted
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6The Citadel1.11-0.28vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.79-0.74vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina1.34-2.91vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College0.24-0.99vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College0.53-2.72vs Predicted
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11Auburn University-0.36-1.51vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.05-3.28vs Predicted
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13University of Georgia-2.43-0.38vs Predicted
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14College of Coastal Georgia-3.44-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68North Carolina State University2.540.3%1st Place
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5.34College of Charleston1.160.1%1st Place
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7.42Duke University0.430.0%1st Place
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3.54College of Charleston2.040.2%1st Place
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9.3Georgia Institute of Technology-0.310.0%1st Place
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5.72The Citadel1.110.1%1st Place
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6.26Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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5.09University of South Carolina1.340.1%1st Place
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8.01Dartmouth College0.240.0%1st Place
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7.28Dartmouth College0.530.0%1st Place
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9.49Auburn University-0.360.0%1st Place
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8.72University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.050.0%1st Place
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12.62University of Georgia-2.430.0%1st Place
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13.51College of Coastal Georgia-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 31.6% | 26.0% | 15.5% | 12.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christofor Tella | 8.1% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alec Deakin | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 18.3% | 20.5% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Meyhoefer | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 22.6% | 6.7% | 0.8% |
| Gregory Walters | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| James Thurlow | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martha Rand | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 4.3% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sara Boyd | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 23.5% | 7.4% | 0.7% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Isabel Taranto | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 54.1% | 25.5% |
| Nellie Little | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 21.6% | 72.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.