Race 2A

saisa-north-points-charleston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Scott Harris 31.6% 25.8% 16.2% 10.6% 8.7% 3.5% 1.5% 1.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christofor Tella 8.2% 8.2% 11.0% 11.7% 13.4% 9.6% 11.6% 8.8% 8.1% 5.1% 2.9% 1.2% 0.2%
Nilah Miller 4.6% 5.3% 7.4% 9.8% 9.5% 11.5% 11.6% 11.7% 11.1% 6.9% 7.6% 2.8% 0.2%
Alec Deakin 3.4% 3.8% 7.1% 4.9% 9.1% 9.9% 9.2% 9.9% 12.4% 11.1% 11.0% 7.3% 0.9%
Emma Tallman 21.3% 19.6% 15.6% 14.4% 11.0% 8.6% 4.5% 2.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Gregory Walters 8.5% 9.1% 9.3% 11.5% 10.9% 13.1% 10.7% 9.2% 7.7% 5.5% 2.6% 1.8% 0.1%
James Thurlow 10.4% 11.0% 11.6% 13.1% 11.7% 11.3% 10.8% 8.1% 5.4% 3.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Phoebe Whitbeck 2.4% 3.0% 3.6% 4.1% 4.0% 6.2% 8.1% 9.5% 11.2% 13.3% 17.2% 15.7% 1.7%
Kyle Meyhoefer 1.6% 2.7% 3.2% 3.4% 3.2% 4.4% 6.1% 6.2% 9.3% 13.3% 17.8% 23.3% 5.5%
Sara Boyd 1.2% 2.4% 3.4% 2.9% 3.9% 3.9% 6.7% 8.2% 8.7% 12.5% 15.0% 23.9% 7.3%
Martha Rand 3.0% 3.7% 5.4% 6.6% 6.9% 7.8% 9.6% 12.0% 10.9% 12.3% 11.5% 8.9% 1.4%
Michael Hanrahan 3.6% 5.2% 5.8% 6.9% 7.4% 9.4% 9.1% 11.0% 11.6% 13.6% 8.9% 6.4% 1.1%
Isabel Taranto 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.3% 0.8% 0.5% 1.2% 1.4% 2.2% 3.2% 8.0% 81.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.