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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgia Institute of Technology0.05+5.27vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.17+1.81vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.60+0.04vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College0.17+1.98vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.65-1.97vs Predicted
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6Duke University-0.67+1.81vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.11-1.01vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-0.58-0.51vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College0.72-4.41vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-2.72+1.05vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-1.08vs Predicted
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12Auburn University-1.27-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.27Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.1%1st Place
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3.81North Carolina State University1.170.1%1st Place
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3.04College of Charleston1.600.3%1st Place
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5.98Dartmouth College0.170.1%1st Place
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3.03College of Charleston1.650.3%1st Place
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7.81Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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5.99The Citadel0.110.1%1st Place
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7.49Clemson University-0.580.0%1st Place
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4.59Dartmouth College0.720.1%1st Place
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11.05University of South Carolina-2.720.0%1st Place
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9.92University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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9.02Auburn University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Woerner | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Harrison Bailey | 15.0% | 18.0% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Alfortish | 25.1% | 20.4% | 19.4% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rob Mailley | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Ethan Homberger | 25.9% | 22.7% | 16.8% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 17.6% | 18.4% | 10.5% | 2.7% |
| Lewis Bragg | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Samantha Bialek | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 17.8% | 16.2% | 7.6% | 2.6% |
| Connor Vogel | 10.1% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Chad Callahan | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 18.1% | 61.6% |
| Nevin Williams | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 15.2% | 32.9% | 22.8% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 21.8% | 23.4% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.