Race 2B

saisa-north-points-charleston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Harrison Bailey 14.6% 16.7% 15.7% 16.4% 14.8% 8.9% 7.3% 3.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Ethan Homberger 24.7% 24.4% 18.3% 12.7% 10.6% 5.3% 2.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cole Woerner 5.9% 6.1% 6.5% 9.1% 9.4% 11.7% 16.4% 13.8% 12.0% 6.1% 3.0% 0.0%
Connor Vogel 8.3% 11.1% 14.0% 14.2% 15.9% 11.7% 11.0% 6.9% 5.1% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Samantha Bialek 2.2% 3.5% 4.2% 5.0% 6.1% 9.3% 11.1% 15.1% 15.9% 14.5% 11.0% 2.1%
Lewis Bragg 5.6% 6.1% 8.2% 8.4% 11.1% 13.9% 12.7% 13.9% 10.6% 6.8% 2.6% 0.1%
Natalie Aramendia 2.8% 3.6% 3.9% 4.5% 5.5% 9.3% 9.5% 14.3% 15.6% 17.4% 9.8% 3.8%
Emily Alfortish 26.9% 19.6% 17.7% 13.9% 9.9% 6.9% 3.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nevin Williams 0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 1.7% 1.4% 3.3% 4.3% 6.7% 10.3% 19.5% 31.4% 18.8%
Joaquin Marquez 1.4% 1.6% 2.7% 2.6% 3.3% 5.2% 6.6% 8.7% 14.4% 20.1% 24.4% 9.0%
Chad Callahan 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 1.6% 2.1% 3.5% 7.2% 16.1% 65.9%
Rob Mailley 6.3% 6.0% 7.5% 10.6% 11.2% 13.9% 13.6% 12.5% 10.5% 6.4% 1.2% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.