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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+4.06vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.58+4.00vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.39+3.52vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.85+0.96vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.94+3.30vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.37+0.78vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.07+5.61vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+1.01vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.48+0.73vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.51-0.09vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.85-2.71vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40-1.08vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.59-1.74vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.06-2.87vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.42-4.55vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.59-3.11vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.20-6.39vs Predicted
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18Olin College of Engineering-0.96-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06Yale University2.7114.9%1st Place
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6.0Boston College2.5811.2%1st Place
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6.52Dartmouth College2.398.8%1st Place
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4.96Yale University2.8515.6%1st Place
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8.3Roger Williams University1.946.4%1st Place
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6.78Brown University2.378.4%1st Place
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12.61Boston University1.071.6%1st Place
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9.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.585.3%1st Place
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9.73Bowdoin College1.484.1%1st Place
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9.91Tufts University1.513.5%1st Place
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8.29Harvard University1.855.7%1st Place
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10.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.402.1%1st Place
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11.26Northeastern University1.592.1%1st Place
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11.13University of Vermont1.062.9%1st Place
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10.45University of Rhode Island1.422.5%1st Place
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12.89Fairfield University0.591.6%1st Place
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10.61Connecticut College1.202.8%1st Place
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16.59Olin College of Engineering-0.960.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 14.9% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Busch | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Stephan Baker | 15.6% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Blake Behrens | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Porter Bell | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 8.1% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Clark Morris | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Harrison Strom | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 2.5% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 2.9% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 2.9% |
| Henry Lee | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 17.9% | 9.6% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 2.5% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 10.6% | 66.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.