← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida1.51+2.58vs Predicted
-
2Florida Institute of Technology0.78+3.12vs Predicted
-
3University of Florida1.38+0.82vs Predicted
-
4Rollins College0.37+1.58vs Predicted
-
5University of Miami2.27-2.64vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College0.75-1.07vs Predicted
-
7Embry-Riddle University0.81-2.17vs Predicted
-
8Florida State University-0.23-1.31vs Predicted
-
9Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.26-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.58University of South Florida1.510.2%1st Place
-
5.12Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
-
3.82University of Florida1.380.1%1st Place
-
5.58Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
-
2.36University of Miami2.270.4%1st Place
-
4.93Eckerd College0.750.1%1st Place
-
4.83Embry-Riddle University0.810.1%1st Place
-
6.69Florida State University-0.230.0%1st Place
-
8.09Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachariah Schemel | 16.3% | 19.3% | 16.1% | 16.8% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.7% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 4.1% |
| Matthew Snyder | 13.1% | 17.6% | 17.7% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Hilton Kamps | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 19.9% | 17.0% | 6.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 38.2% | 26.4% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Robinson | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 10.3% | 2.5% |
| Dylan Hardt | 8.1% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 9.0% | 2.8% |
| Michael Kaufman | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 17.5% | 28.7% | 19.4% |
| Brian Sargent | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 16.8% | 64.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.