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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University0.45+2.57vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.93+0.74vs Predicted
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3Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.36+2.34vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut-0.80+2.05vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.70-1.92vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-1.10+0.55vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.15-2.96vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.93-2.18vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-2.06-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57Harvard University0.4516.0%1st Place
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2.74University of Rhode Island0.9329.3%1st Place
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5.34Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.365.9%1st Place
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6.05University of Connecticut-0.803.6%1st Place
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3.08Northeastern University0.7022.6%1st Place
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6.55Bentley University-1.103.5%1st Place
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4.04Boston University0.1513.0%1st Place
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5.82University of New Hampshire-0.934.5%1st Place
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7.8Sacred Heart University-2.061.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theresa Straw | 16.0% | 17.8% | 18.9% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Leonardo Burnham | 29.3% | 22.6% | 18.1% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Owen Peterson | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 5.5% |
| Ryan Treat | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 16.4% | 19.1% | 19.7% | 10.7% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 22.6% | 20.3% | 19.8% | 16.2% | 11.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 18.0% | 23.8% | 18.9% |
| Matteo Asscher | 13.0% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 19.6% | 17.3% | 8.8% |
| Will Sugerman | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 17.6% | 55.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.