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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.85+3.89vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.37+5.07vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.85+5.29vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.94+4.43vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.58+0.91vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.39+0.43vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.48+2.89vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+0.98vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.51+1.02vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.71-5.01vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.06+0.28vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.20-1.45vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40-2.04vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University0.59-1.07vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.07-2.39vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.42-5.82vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.59-6.00vs Predicted
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18Olin College of Engineering-0.96-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.89Yale University2.8515.0%1st Place
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7.07Brown University2.377.5%1st Place
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8.29Harvard University1.855.8%1st Place
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8.43Roger Williams University1.945.7%1st Place
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5.91Boston College2.5810.7%1st Place
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6.43Dartmouth College2.398.7%1st Place
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9.89Bowdoin College1.484.5%1st Place
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8.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.584.8%1st Place
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10.02Tufts University1.514.0%1st Place
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4.99Yale University2.7114.2%1st Place
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11.28University of Vermont1.061.9%1st Place
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10.55Connecticut College1.203.5%1st Place
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10.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.403.1%1st Place
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12.93Fairfield University0.591.8%1st Place
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12.61Boston University1.072.1%1st Place
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10.18University of Rhode Island1.423.2%1st Place
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11.0Northeastern University1.592.9%1st Place
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16.6Olin College of Engineering-0.960.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan Baker | 15.0% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Strom | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Peter Busch | 10.7% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Robert Ulmer | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Clark Morris | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 14.2% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 3.2% |
| Skylor Sweet | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 1.8% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 2.8% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 8.9% |
| Porter Bell | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 17.1% | 7.0% |
| Henry Lee | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 1.6% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 3.0% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 10.1% | 68.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.