← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ashley Delisser 21.3% 23.1% 17.3% 15.5% 11.7% 6.6% 3.0% 1.3% 0.2%
Lily Schwartz 5.6% 7.3% 12.3% 13.2% 14.6% 15.3% 15.1% 11.3% 5.3%
Humberto Porrata 36.9% 25.8% 17.3% 10.2% 6.4% 3.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Kathleen Lojko 10.5% 13.0% 15.0% 15.7% 14.5% 13.1% 9.8% 6.1% 2.3%
Brandon DePalma 8.0% 12.8% 13.3% 13.3% 12.8% 13.2% 12.5% 8.8% 5.3%
Collin Lee 4.5% 4.9% 8.1% 10.3% 10.4% 14.7% 17.3% 18.1% 11.7%
Caleb Gill 2.1% 2.8% 1.9% 2.3% 4.9% 6.6% 10.5% 18.1% 50.8%
Jason Goldsmith 4.5% 5.4% 5.4% 8.2% 10.8% 13.2% 16.2% 19.7% 16.6%
Meredith McIntosh 6.6% 4.9% 9.4% 11.3% 13.9% 14.3% 15.4% 16.4% 7.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.