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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.24+10.73vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85+7.31vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.65+7.14vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.70+1.68vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.77+4.30vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.93+2.73vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.62-0.99vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.73+1.46vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.44+1.73vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.55-3.53vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.70-5.13vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.89-2.74vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-3.89vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.28-2.85vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-5.12vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.00-3.43vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.49-2.58vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.30-6.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.73University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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9.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.0%1st Place
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10.14North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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5.68Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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9.3Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.73Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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6.01Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.46George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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10.73Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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6.47Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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5.87Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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9.26University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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9.11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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11.15Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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9.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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12.57Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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14.42SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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11.17University of Wisconsin1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.7% | 1.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 11.1% |
| Ella Withington | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 13.2% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| J.J. Smith | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Stephanie Houck | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.6% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 11.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Grace Gear | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 15.6% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 14.6% | 34.8% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.