← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.71+4.22vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.37+4.84vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.85+1.97vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40+6.87vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College2.39+1.50vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University1.94+2.46vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.51+3.28vs Predicted
-
8Boston College2.58-2.12vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University1.85-0.69vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-1.07vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island1.42-1.00vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont1.06-0.87vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College1.48-3.34vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.59-2.89vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College1.20-4.58vs Predicted
-
16Fairfield University0.59-2.83vs Predicted
-
17Olin College of Engineering-0.96-0.39vs Predicted
-
18Boston University1.07-5.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.22Yale University2.7113.6%1st Place
-
6.84Brown University2.378.5%1st Place
-
4.97Yale University2.8514.2%1st Place
-
10.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.403.2%1st Place
-
6.5Dartmouth College2.399.4%1st Place
-
8.46Roger Williams University1.946.5%1st Place
-
10.28Tufts University1.513.2%1st Place
-
5.88Boston College2.5810.5%1st Place
-
8.31Harvard University1.855.3%1st Place
-
8.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.584.5%1st Place
-
10.0University of Rhode Island1.424.1%1st Place
-
11.13University of Vermont1.062.8%1st Place
-
9.66Bowdoin College1.484.1%1st Place
-
11.11Northeastern University1.593.1%1st Place
-
10.42Connecticut College1.203.4%1st Place
-
13.17Fairfield University0.591.2%1st Place
-
16.61Olin College of Engineering-0.960.4%1st Place
-
12.66Boston University1.071.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 13.6% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Stephan Baker | 14.2% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 2.6% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Clark Morris | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 1.5% |
| Peter Busch | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Strom | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Robert Ulmer | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Henry Lee | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 2.6% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 3.1% |
| Skylor Sweet | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 1.4% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 18.9% | 9.3% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 68.2% |
| Porter Bell | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 17.7% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.