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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.70+4.90vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.77+7.64vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.24+8.82vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.62+1.98vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.55+1.25vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.93+2.70vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+2.23vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.70-2.31vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85+0.03vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+0.23vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.28+0.54vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.73-2.08vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.30-1.82vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.89-5.41vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.44-4.30vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.65-6.11vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.49-2.60vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.00-5.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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9.64Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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11.82University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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5.98Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.25Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.7Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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9.23St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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5.69Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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9.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.0%1st Place
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10.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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11.54Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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9.92George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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11.18University of Wisconsin1.300.0%1st Place
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8.59University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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10.7Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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9.89North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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14.4SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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12.31Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% |
| Stephanie Houck | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 11.7% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| J.J. Smith | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Katherine Bennett | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 11.6% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ella Withington | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.9% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.4% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% |
| Grace Gear | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.6% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 35.3% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.