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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.70+4.95vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+4.44vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.62+3.15vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85+4.96vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.65+4.84vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.77+3.45vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.89+1.88vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.73+1.50vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.93-0.32vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.70-4.05vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.49+3.34vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.30-0.29vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-3.17vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.24-2.76vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-5.77vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.28-4.41vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.00-4.35vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.44-7.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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6.44Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.15Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.1%1st Place
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9.84North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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9.45Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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8.88University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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9.5George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.68Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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5.95Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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14.34SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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11.71University of Wisconsin1.300.0%1st Place
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9.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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11.24University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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9.23St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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11.59Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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12.65Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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10.6Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 11.8% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Stephanie Houck | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ella Withington | 5.5% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Abbie Carlson | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Grace Gear | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| J.J. Smith | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 34.0% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 7.8% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.3% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.7% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 15.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.