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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+5.52vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.44+9.06vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.62+3.12vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.73+5.48vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.93+3.65vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.24+5.60vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.77+2.43vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.70-2.36vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85+0.01vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.70-4.06vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-1.59vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.89-2.77vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.49+1.12vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.30-2.99vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.00-2.53vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-5.95vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.65-6.94vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.28-6.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.52Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.06Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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6.12Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.48George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.65Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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11.6University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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9.43Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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5.64Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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9.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.0%1st Place
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5.94Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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9.41St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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9.23University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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14.12SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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11.01University of Wisconsin1.300.0%1st Place
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12.47Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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10.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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10.06North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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11.21Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% |
| Stephanie Houck | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| J.J. Smith | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% |
| Abbie Carlson | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 12.0% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ella Withington | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Grace Gear | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 14.6% | 32.6% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 14.4% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.