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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.93+7.97vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.44+9.02vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.73+6.78vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.77+5.28vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.55+1.23vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.620.00vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College0.49+7.21vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.70-2.36vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+0.90vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.30+1.61vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85-1.85vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-2.38vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.89-4.21vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.24-2.77vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.28-3.60vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.70-10.19vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.65-6.94vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.00-5.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.97Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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11.02Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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9.78George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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9.28Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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6.23Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.0Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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14.21SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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5.64Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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9.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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11.61University of Wisconsin1.300.0%1st Place
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9.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.1%1st Place
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9.62St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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8.79University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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11.23University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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11.4Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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5.81Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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10.06North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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12.29Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. Smith | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 12.1% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Houck | 11.7% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 34.2% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 12.4% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% |
| Ella Withington | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Katherine Bennett | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Grace Gear | 6.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 11.2% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.