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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.70+4.66vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.73+7.43vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.55+3.16vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+4.76vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.70+0.51vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+3.58vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85+1.67vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.93+0.33vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College0.49+4.94vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.62-4.06vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.28+0.13vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.00+0.43vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.30-2.31vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.77-5.30vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.65-5.51vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.44-5.56vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.24-5.77vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.08-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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9.43George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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6.16Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.76St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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5.51Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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9.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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8.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.1%1st Place
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8.33Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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13.94SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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5.94Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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11.13Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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12.43Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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10.69University of Wisconsin1.300.0%1st Place
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8.7Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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9.49North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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10.44Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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11.23University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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14.92University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 13.9% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Ella Withington | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| J.J. Smith | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 16.8% | 22.8% |
| Stephanie Houck | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 4.8% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 12.0% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 3.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.3% |
| Abbie Carlson | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 3.6% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 5.3% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 17.0% | 37.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.