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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.62+5.31vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.44+9.12vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.55+3.50vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.44+6.75vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.73+4.60vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.70-0.20vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.65+3.00vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+1.26vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.93-0.23vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.28+1.75vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.71-1.09vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.70-5.95vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85-3.98vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-4.26vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.30-3.62vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.89-6.97vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.24-5.19vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.49-3.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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11.12Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
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6.5Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.75Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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9.6George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
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5.8Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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10.0North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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9.26St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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8.77Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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11.75Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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9.91Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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6.05Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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9.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.1%1st Place
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9.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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11.38University of Wisconsin1.300.0%1st Place
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9.03University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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11.81University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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14.23SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Payton Canavan | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% |
| Katherine Bennett | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| J.J. Smith | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 9.6% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Ella Withington | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% |
| Grace Gear | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 10.7% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 34.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.