← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.58+4.92vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.37+4.95vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.71+2.18vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College1.20+6.44vs Predicted
-
51.42+5.28vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University1.85+2.18vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.94+1.43vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40+2.98vs Predicted
-
9Yale University2.85-4.05vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College2.39-3.64vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University1.51-0.80vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont1.06-0.97vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College1.48-3.14vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-5.45vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University1.59-3.73vs Predicted
-
16Boston University1.07-3.20vs Predicted
-
17Fairfield University0.59-3.98vs Predicted
-
18Olin College of Engineering-0.96-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.92Boston College2.5811.4%1st Place
-
6.95Brown University2.377.3%1st Place
-
5.18Yale University2.7112.2%1st Place
-
10.44Connecticut College1.203.9%1st Place
-
10.281.423.5%1st Place
-
8.18Harvard University1.856.3%1st Place
-
8.43Roger Williams University1.945.3%1st Place
-
10.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.403.0%1st Place
-
4.95Yale University2.8514.1%1st Place
-
6.36Dartmouth College2.399.8%1st Place
-
10.2Tufts University1.513.9%1st Place
-
11.03University of Vermont1.062.4%1st Place
-
9.86Bowdoin College1.484.0%1st Place
-
8.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.456.3%1st Place
-
11.27Northeastern University1.592.4%1st Place
-
12.8Boston University1.072.1%1st Place
-
13.02Fairfield University0.591.7%1st Place
-
16.61Olin College of Engineering-0.960.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Busch | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.2% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Skylor Sweet | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
| Henry Lee | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 1.2% |
| Harrison Strom | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
| Stephan Baker | 14.1% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Clark Morris | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 2.8% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 2.9% |
| Porter Bell | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 17.2% | 8.9% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 19.7% | 8.8% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 67.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.