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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.77+8.61vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.70+3.88vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.70+2.85vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.93+4.63vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.55+1.25vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+4.04vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+2.29vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.73+1.55vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.89-0.13vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.44+1.06vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54-0.47vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.240.00vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.28-1.70vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.30-2.99vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.44-4.20vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.65-6.00vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.62-10.82vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.49-3.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.61Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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5.88Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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5.85Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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8.63Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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6.25Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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9.29St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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9.55George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
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8.87University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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11.06Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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10.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.0%1st Place
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12.0University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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11.3Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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11.01University of Wisconsin1.300.0%1st Place
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10.8Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
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10.0North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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6.18Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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14.14SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbie Carlson | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| J.J. Smith | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Grace Gear | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 6.3% |
| Camille McGriff | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 11.8% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% |
| Payton Canavan | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 3.7% |
| Stephanie Houck | 12.5% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 14.5% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.